Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 112.541866 123.935488 135.536881 148.207925 161.631880 175.404915 190.579005
2025-11-16 89.871970 106.335213 123.853874 143.773141 165.685017 188.950751 215.417799
2025-11-23 74.772874 94.749461 116.898781 143.005967 172.669989 205.077347 242.907867
2025-11-30 65.659254 88.574694 114.932240 146.975698 184.378637 226.192224 276.005410
2025-12-07 57.164839 82.018113 111.634282 148.692271 193.015781 243.583446 304.893384
2025-12-14 49.015764 74.889319 106.830504 147.926614 198.219588 256.679881 328.691634
2025-12-21 43.506164 70.435933 104.758966 150.009524 206.481171 273.158092 356.370019
2025-12-28 39.842447 67.969055 104.845962 154.496733 217.492245 292.843930 387.892319
2026-01-04 35.947217 64.736700 103.583884 156.988955 225.844981 309.236742 415.495741
2026-01-11 32.994294 62.504329 103.389340 160.655656 235.541206 327.218968 445.054434
2026-01-18 30.146700 60.114099 102.738587 163.536049 244.121524 343.787632 472.934845
2026-01-25 24.960589 53.583428 95.831367 157.611695 241.002354 345.539877 482.448539
2026-02-01 21.068682 48.703151 90.997273 154.323820 241.256144 351.586007 497.475254
2026-02-08 18.310858 45.373751 88.191158 153.663580 244.874796 361.870131 517.843247
2026-02-15 16.327461 43.146395 86.871590 154.982976 251.088667 375.486625 542.482624
2026-02-22 15.419752 42.769844 88.361578 160.339003 262.827920 396.341973 576.449653
2026-03-01 14.003563 41.252729 87.923359 162.795635 270.558741 412.002284 603.889896
2026-03-08 12.187757 38.694590 85.612498 162.327553 274.138609 422.176104 624.318944
2026-03-15 11.063788 37.392072 85.261684 164.728691 281.698710 437.616661 651.591407
2026-03-22 10.442049 37.082708 86.541390 169.601745 292.774047 457.792260 685.103934
2026-03-29 9.540498 36.022323 86.447281 172.307022 300.753554 473.861112 713.357498
2026-04-05 8.894657 35.456585 87.158515 176.234464 310.483206 492.311209 744.788196
2026-04-12 8.186107 34.635237 87.350922 179.311358 318.987127 509.146009 774.186849